Albi vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MON
0 - 3
ALB
50%
27%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 0
EPM
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 1
ALB
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 0
GAZ
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SAE
2 - 1
ALB
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
AND
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 2
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
4 - 0
BAL
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |