Alberite vs Sporting Cascajos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PRM
2 - 2
ALB
49%
20%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 3
VIL
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 2
ALB
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
CEN
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALD
1 - 2
ALB
51%
20%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cascajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
RAP
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 3
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 2
ALD
28%
20%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 4
LOG
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |