Alberic vs Recambios Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ALB
20%
24%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 1
TAV
68%
20%
13%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TCF
1 - 0
ALB
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 2
ALB
28%
24%
49%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Recambios Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
REC
0 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
4 - 1
REC
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
REC
0 - 2
CDT
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 2
REC
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
REC
1 - 2
BEN
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |