Alberic vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
JAV
1 - 0
ALB
29%
29%
42%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
VIL
1 - 3
ALB
43%
27%
30%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
ALB
1 - 0
SDS
57%
25%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
OND
2 - 2
ALB
54%
26%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
ALB
1 - 1
LLI
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
NOV
1 - 0
ELD
8%
23%
70%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
NOV
0 - 3
SDS
19%
29%
51%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
SAG
6 - 0
NOV
83%
13%
4%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
NOV
1 - 1
MON
41%
28%
31%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
TCF
5 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |