Albany Creek vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
MIT
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
PEN
41%
21%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
5 - 1
CAP
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 0
ALB
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
4 - 3
HPH
36%
22%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 5
PEN
38%
22%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 1
LOG
51%
20%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LOG
3 - 1
QUE
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +6 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
HPH
4 - 1
LOG
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 0
ROC
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |