Alba vs Calvão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 4
ALB
15%
20%
64%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALB
8 - 0
MEA
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
ALB
14%
20%
67%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 1
ALB
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ALB
4 - 0
CAN
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Calvão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
MOU
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
CAL
68%
18%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
BUS
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 3
UNI
12%
19%
70%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
AVA
4 - 1
CAL
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |