Deportivo Alavés vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
RUN
2 - 1
ALA
22%
21%
57%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ALA
2 - 0
SDE
67%
17%
16%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
ALA
3 - 0
CDG
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
TOL
2 - 3
ALA
36%
21%
43%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
ALA
1 - 0
ARE
43%
21%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
BAR
6 - 1
TOL
83%
10%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ARE
5 - 2
BAR
63%
18%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
BAR
2 - 1
SDI
73%
15%
12%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
MIR
3 - 4
BAR
26%
22%
53%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
BAR
1 - 2
SSC
84%
10%
6%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |