Armenia First Division Round 27

Alashkert II vs Gandzasar analysis

Alashkert II Gandzasar
35 ELO 64
27.9% Tilt 20.7%
27678º General ELO ranking 2671º
45º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
14.3%
Alashkert II
21.4%
Draw
64.3%
Gandzasar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
Alashkert II
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64.3%
Win probability
Gandzasar
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Alashkert II
Their league position
Gandzasar
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
11º
71
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
West Armenia
75
75
100%
BKMA II
69
72
100%
Gandzasar
71
70
100%
Ararat II
57
60
91%
Ararat-Armenia II
55
58
91%
Urartu II
43
46
100%
Pyunik II
42
45
80%
Shirak II
41
44
80%
FC Syunik
10º
33
38
100%
Mika
36
36
10º
100%
Alashkert II
11º
23
26
11º
100%
Lernayin II
12º
2
6
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Alashkert II
Gandzasar
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Alashkert II
Gandzasar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alashkert II
Alashkert II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
BKM
BKMA II
2 - 1
Alashkert II
ALA
80%
13%
7%
35 57 22 0
18 Apr. 2023
LAR
Lernayin II
0 - 3
Alashkert II
ALA
47%
20%
33%
33 33 0 +2
14 Apr. 2023
ALA
Alashkert II
2 - 2
FC Syunik
SYU
27%
23%
50%
33 46 13 0
08 Apr. 2023
ARA
Ararat-Armenia II
0 - 1
Alashkert II
ALA
86%
10%
4%
31 56 25 +2
04 Apr. 2023
SHI
Shirak II
3 - 2
Alashkert II
ALA
65%
18%
17%
31 43 12 0

Matches

Gandzasar
Gandzasar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
GAN
Gandzasar
2 - 1
Shirak II
SHI
77%
16%
7%
64 44 20 0
17 Apr. 2023
BAN
Urartu II
1 - 2
Gandzasar
GAN
22%
25%
52%
64 52 12 0
10 Apr. 2023
GAN
Gandzasar
6 - 2
Pyunik II
PYU
64%
21%
15%
64 52 12 0
06 Apr. 2023
BAN
FC Urartu
4 - 0
Gandzasar
GAN
52%
25%
23%
65 72 7 -1
02 Apr. 2023
LAR
Lernayin II
0 - 3
Gandzasar
GAN
16%
23%
62%
65 35 30 0