Armenia First Division Round 15

Alashkert II vs Ararat II analysis

Alashkert II Ararat II
56 ELO 51
12.8% Tilt 2.6%
27974º General ELO ranking 4735º
45º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
62.6%
Alashkert II
20.1%
Draw
17.3%
Ararat II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
Alashkert II
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.3%
Win probability
Ararat II
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alashkert II
+26%
-59%
Ararat II

ELO progression

Alashkert II
Ararat II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alashkert II
Alashkert II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2016
ALA
Alashkert II
1 - 2
Shirak II
SHI
77%
15%
8%
57 41 16 0
08 Nov. 2016
ALA
Alashkert II
1 - 1
Pyunik II
PYU
66%
19%
15%
57 49 8 0
31 Oct. 2016
ERE
Erebuni FC
1 - 1
Alashkert II
ALA
20%
23%
57%
58 41 17 -1
24 Oct. 2016
ALA
Alashkert II
1 - 1
Gandzasar II
GAN
76%
15%
10%
59 41 18 -1
17 Oct. 2016
BAN
Urartu II
0 - 1
Alashkert II
ALA
48%
25%
27%
59 58 1 0

Matches

Ararat II
Ararat II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2016
ARA
Ararat II
2 - 1
Erebuni FC
ERE
70%
18%
12%
50 40 10 0
21 Nov. 2016
SHI
Shirak II
1 - 1
Ararat II
ARA
23%
23%
55%
50 41 9 0
07 Nov. 2016
ARA
Ararat II
0 - 1
Gandzasar II
GAN
64%
19%
17%
50 41 9 0
25 Oct. 2016
ARA
Ararat II
0 - 2
Urartu II
BAN
37%
25%
38%
52 56 4 -2
17 Oct. 2016
PYU
Pyunik II
1 - 1
Ararat II
ARA
44%
24%
33%
53 51 2 -1