Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
56.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ROT
1 - 0
ALA
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 0
ALA
42%
26%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 0
DIN
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LEG
1 - 1
ALA
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 1
ANG
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 0
MAS
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 0
CHE
21%
25%
55%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
ANG
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
CHE
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
TOR
47%
27%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |