Baiano 1 Final
Global 5-4
Atlético Alagoinhas vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
JAC
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 0
BAH
10%
21%
69%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 0
UNI
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |