Al Shorta vs Karbala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALS
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ALS
1 - 0
BAG
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ALS
1 - 0
ZAK
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALS
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 2
ALS
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Karbala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
KAR
3 - 2
HUD
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
ALQ
1 - 0
KAR
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
KAR
3 - 1
ALM
29%
28%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BAG
2 - 1
KAR
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
KAR
1 - 1
ARB
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |