El Shams vs Al Nasr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Shams
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALS
79%
15%
6%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
GAZ
0 - 0
ALS
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 1
ELS
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
ALS
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2009 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALM
16%
23%
61%
|
40 | 77 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Al Nasr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
NAS
1 - 0
ELS
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
NAS
2 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
ITE
0 - 3
NAS
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
NAS
4 - 0
BAH
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
HEL
1 - 0
NAS
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |