Al-Shamal vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
11º
9º
28
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALS
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 4
KHO
39%
23%
38%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ADS
2 - 1
ALS
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 3
ALS
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 4
RAY
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
3 - 1
AHL
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 1
UMM
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WAK
0 - 5
UMM
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 3
ALS
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 2
QAT
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |