Al-Shamal vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
11º
9º
28
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALS
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 4
KHO
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ADS
2 - 1
ALS
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 3
ALS
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 4
RAY
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
3 - 1
AHL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 1
UMM
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WAK
0 - 5
UMM
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 3
ALS
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 2
QAT
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |