Al Shabab vs Burgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2025 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALS
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALS
47%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALJ
33%
24%
42%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BUR
1 - 1
ALS
42%
24%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALS
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2025 |
ALJ
3 - 0
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALS
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
ALS
0 - 2
BUR
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BUR
1 - 1
ALS
42%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BUR
2 - 0
ALJ
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |