AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Al-Sadd vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAD
3 - 0
ALS
83%
12%
6%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SAD
4 - 0
ALS
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +12 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
SAD
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAD
1 - 1
GHA
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAD
10 - 1
ARA
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
SAD
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
FOO
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
EST
43%
30%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
EST
3 - 0
TRA
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
ZOB
2 - 2
EST
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |