Al-Rayyan vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
2º
44
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Rayyan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UMM
0 - 2
RAY
33%
26%
40%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 2
RAY
23%
21%
56%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 0
GHA
35%
22%
43%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WAK
3 - 2
RAY
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 0
ARA
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
GHA
5 - 2
ALM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GHA
0 - 2
ADS
37%
23%
40%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 0
GHA
35%
22%
43%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
SAD
4 - 0
GHA
44%
23%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GHA
3 - 2
ADS
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |