AFC Cup Semi-finals

Al Qadsia vs Johor FC analysis

Al Qadsia Johor FC
64 ELO 61
12.3% Tilt -1.8%
3058º General ELO ranking 2872º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.5%
Al Qadsia
24%
Draw
27.5%
Johor FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
Al Qadsia
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.5%
Win probability
Johor FC
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Qadsia
+18%
+121%
Johor FC

ELO progression

Al Qadsia
Johor FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Qadsia
Al Qadsia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2015
ALK
Kuwait SC
3 - 1
Al Qadsia
ALQ
56%
22%
22%
64 67 3 0
15 Sep. 2015
ALJ
Al-Jaish
2 - 0
Al Qadsia
ALQ
18%
24%
58%
65 55 10 -1
25 Aug. 2015
ALQ
Al Qadsia
3 - 0
Al-Jaish
ALJ
71%
18%
11%
65 56 9 0
26 May. 2015
ALW
Al-Wehdat
0 - 1
Al Qadsia
ALQ
52%
25%
23%
63 68 5 +2
19 May. 2015
ALS
Al Salmiyah
0 - 1
Al Qadsia
ALQ
47%
23%
30%
63 62 1 0

Matches

Johor FC
Johor FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2015
SCA
South China AA
1 - 3
Johor FC
JOH
58%
22%
20%
61 65 4 0
25 Aug. 2015
JOH
Johor FC
1 - 1
South China AA
SCA
35%
24%
42%
61 65 4 0
22 Aug. 2015
FEL
Felda United
2 - 1
Johor FC
JOH
45%
26%
29%
62 60 2 -1
19 Aug. 2015
JOH
Johor FC
4 - 1
Perak
PER
59%
23%
18%
61 56 5 +1
15 Aug. 2015
KEL
PBS Kelantan
4 - 1
Johor FC
JOH
37%
27%
36%
62 56 6 -1