Al Nasar vs Al-Tadhamon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
9º
8º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALK
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALN
32%
25%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALN
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ALJ
1 - 2
ALN
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALQ
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Tadhamon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
ALQ
2 - 1
ALT
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ALS
2 - 0
ALT
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ALS
0 - 3
ALT
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 2
KAZ
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AFH
2 - 0
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |