Al Najaf vs Baghdad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Najaf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALS
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALN
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
NAF
1 - 3
ALN
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALZ
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 0
ALN
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
BAG
0 - 1
ALZ
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 2
BAG
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
BAG
0 - 1
WAS
39%
30%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
BAG
0 - 3
ALS
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ALH
2 - 4
BAG
33%
33%
34%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |