Al-Nahda vs Al-Riffa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nahda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
RIF
1 - 1
ALN
82%
13%
6%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
ALN
3 - 1
DHO
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALS
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -4 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALS
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALA
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Al-Riffa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
RIF
1 - 1
ALN
82%
13%
6%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
RIF
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ITT
1 - 2
RIF
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
BUD
2 - 2
RIF
13%
19%
69%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NAJ
0 - 8
RIF
37%
23%
40%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |