Al Mosul vs Samarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Mosul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
BFC
0 - 0
MOS
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
MOS
2 - 2
ALN
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
KFC
0 - 0
MOS
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
MOS
1 - 1
ALS
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2002 |
ZAK
2 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Samarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SFC
2 - 1
ALM
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
ADI
1 - 2
SFC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
SFC
3 - 1
NAS
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
DUH
4 - 1
SFC
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2002 |
ALZ
1 - 1
SFC
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |