Al-Merreikh SC vs Garde Nationale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
ALM
0 - 1
IDN
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 2
ALM
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
SNI
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 0
AST
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KSA
0 - 1
ALM
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
AST
0 - 2
GDN
26%
24%
49%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 0
GDN
61%
23%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GDN
1 - 2
GEN
31%
25%
45%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
NOU
0 - 0
GDN
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GDN
1 - 3
TEV
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |