Al Merghani vs Hay Al Wadi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Merghani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
ALH
2 - 0
MER
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
ASH
1 - 1
MER
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
AHM
0 - 0
MER
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
POR
1 - 0
MER
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
HAY
1 - 2
MER
36%
23%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hay Al Wadi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
HAW
0 - 1
AZU
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
HAW
1 - 0
AAS
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
UMS
1 - 1
HAW
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
HAW
1 - 0
KSC
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
HAW
1 - 1
UMS
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | -1 |