Confederation Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Al-Masry vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Masry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
NBE
1 - 1
ALM
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
ALM
1 - 1
MAS
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
ASY
0 - 0
ALM
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
NBE
3 - 1
ALM
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
ALM
4 - 2
CCF
44%
30%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
2 - 1
BIS
87%
9%
4%
|
61 | 9 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
6 - 0
DJF
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
COA
0 - 3
SIM
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
SIM
2 - 2
AZA
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
NAM
0 - 3
SIM
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |