Al-Karamah vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
9º
7º
42
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 47 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 46 |
2º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 39 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 37 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 24 |
7º
|
88.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 20 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 19 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 16 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 14 |
12º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Karamah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 0
ALJ
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALK
43%
30%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 3
TIS
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
FOU
0 - 1
ALK
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 0
ALK
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALW
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALJ
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ALJ
1 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 3
ALI
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 1
ALI
34%
29%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |