Iraq League Round 19

Al Kahrabaa vs Baghdad FC analysis

Al Kahrabaa Baghdad FC
65 ELO 65
-13.2% Tilt -16.1%
1563º General ELO ranking 2277º
12º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
42.9%
Al Kahrabaa
29.7%
Draw
27.4%
Baghdad FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
Al Kahrabaa
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
27.4%
Win probability
Baghdad FC
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Kahrabaa
-11%
-1%
Baghdad FC

ELO progression

Al Kahrabaa
Baghdad FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Kahrabaa
Al Kahrabaa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 2022
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
1 - 0
Al Minaa
ALM
38%
28%
34%
64 65 1 0
11 Jan. 2022
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
1 - 3
Al Karkh
KAR
45%
29%
26%
65 63 2 -1
06 Jan. 2022
NSC
Newroz SC
2 - 1
Al Kahrabaa
ALK
47%
28%
25%
65 64 1 0
31 Dec. 2021
NAF
Naft Maysan
2 - 0
Al Kahrabaa
ALK
52%
26%
23%
66 66 0 -1
26 Dec. 2021
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
2 - 0
Samarra
SFC
45%
28%
27%
65 60 5 +1

Matches

Baghdad FC
Baghdad FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 2022
BAG
Baghdad FC
0 - 1
Al Talaba
ALT
28%
29%
43%
66 69 3 0
11 Jan. 2022
DIW
Al Diwaniya
2 - 0
Baghdad FC
BAG
35%
30%
35%
66 60 6 0
05 Jan. 2022
ALN
Al Najaf
1 - 0
Baghdad FC
BAG
54%
27%
19%
67 72 5 -1
31 Dec. 2021
BAG
Baghdad FC
1 - 3
Al Shorta
ALS
25%
29%
47%
68 72 4 -1
26 Dec. 2021
BAG
Baghdad FC
1 - 1
Al Zawraa
ALZ
26%
30%
44%
67 72 5 +1