Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ghazl El Mehalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
12.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
8º
8º
33
2º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ittihad Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
GEI
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 0
ELD
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ASW
0 - 1
ALI
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALI
22%
28%
51%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
MOK
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ghazl El Mehalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ASW
0 - 0
GHA
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ASW
0 - 1
GHA
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 1
ISM
29%
30%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
MOK
1 - 1
GHA
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALI
22%
28%
51%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |