CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Sanga Balende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 0
HIL
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALH
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALH
81%
15%
5%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALH
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALH
1 - 1
MER
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sanga Balende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
GBA
1 - 0
SAN
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALH
81%
15%
5%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MOT
0 - 3
SAN
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
MKE
0 - 2
SAN
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
COT
53%
26%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |