Al-Gharafa vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 1
LEK
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
WAK
2 - 1
GHA
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 4
JAI
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 1
GHA
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GHA
2 - 0
AHL
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
SAI
1 - 2
UMM
44%
25%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MES
0 - 3
UMM
29%
26%
46%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
QAT
2 - 2
UMM
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RAY
3 - 1
UMM
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
SAA
2 - 2
UMM
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |