Al-Baqa'a vs Sama Al Sarhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
4º
4º
0
8º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 10 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 10 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 10 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 9 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 7 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 7 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 5 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
0 | 4 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 4 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
7% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 41% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 58.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Baqa'a
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 1
ALH
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
DQR
0 - 1
ALB
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ALW
0 - 1
ALB
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
AMA
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
KFA
0 - 7
ALB
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sama Al Sarhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 3
SAM
19%
24%
58%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
DQR
2 - 2
SAM
18%
23%
60%
|
55 | 13 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
5 - 0
SAH
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
ALW
3 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
0 - 1
SAM
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |