Al Amir vs Merreikh El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Amir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 2
HIL
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALA
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALR
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -5 |
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 0
MER
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 1
MER
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
MER
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
ALR
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ALH
5 - 0
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |