Al Ahly SC vs Wadi Degla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 1
ALA
40%
29%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
MOK
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ELS
0 - 1
ALA
41%
29%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 1
SMO
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
EEE
1 - 1
ALA
34%
30%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wadi Degla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
WAD
2 - 0
SMO
55%
24%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
EEE
2 - 3
WAD
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
WAD
2 - 2
GEI
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
0 - 0
WAD
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WAD
0 - 1
ZAM
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |