CAF Champions League Group Stages Round 3

Al Ahly SC vs AS Vita Club analysis

Al Ahly SC AS Vita Club
76 ELO 71
6.5% Tilt -12.7%
1048º General ELO ranking 1602º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
57.6%
Al Ahly SC
21.9%
Draw
20.5%
AS Vita Club

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
Al Ahly SC
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.5%
Win probability
AS Vita Club
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Ahly SC
+11%
-10%
AS Vita Club

ELO progression

Al Ahly SC
AS Vita Club
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Ahly SC
Al Ahly SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2021
ALA
Al Ahly SC
2 - 1
Talaea El-Gaish
GEI
58%
24%
18%
76 72 4 0
23 Feb. 2021
SIM
Simba SC
1 - 0
Al Ahly SC
ALA
25%
25%
50%
76 60 16 0
16 Feb. 2021
ALA
Al Ahly SC
3 - 0
Al-Merreikh SC
ALM
89%
9%
2%
76 39 37 0
11 Feb. 2021
ALA
Al Ahly SC
0 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
23%
25%
52%
76 87 11 0
08 Feb. 2021
ALA
Al Ahly SC
0 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
2%
7%
91%
76 96 20 0

Matches

AS Vita Club
AS Vita Club
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2021
ALM
Al-Merreikh SC
1 - 4
AS Vita Club
VCL
7%
15%
78%
71 39 32 0
17 Feb. 2021
VCL
AS Vita Club
1 - 0
JSK
JSK
57%
25%
18%
71 66 5 0
12 Feb. 2021
VCL
AS Vita Club
0 - 1
Simba SC
SIM
65%
20%
15%
71 60 11 0
03 Jan. 2021
VCL
AS Vita Club
2 - 0
Sanga Balende
SAN
46%
27%
27%
71 71 0 0
17 Dec. 2020
VCL
AS Vita Club
4 - 2
Simba
SIM
58%
25%
17%
71 60 11 0