Al-Ahly Merowe vs Hilal El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
OBA
0 - 2
AAS
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
TUT
1 - 2
AAS
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
HAW
4 - 2
AAS
46%
27%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
AAS
0 - 0
WNK
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
OBA
2 - 2
AAS
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hilal El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
HIL
33%
27%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 2
ASH
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
HIL
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 0
HAY
51%
25%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |