Al Ahli Tripoli vs Asaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ALK
0 - 3
TRI
36%
30%
34%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 0
AMT
49%
28%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 0
ABC
74%
17%
8%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
ITT
0 - 0
TRI
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
ASC
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Asaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
ALK
2 - 2
ASA
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ASA
0 - 2
AMT
43%
30%
28%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ABC
1 - 1
ASA
13%
19%
68%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 1
ITT
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
ASA
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |