Lebanon League Round 11

Al Ahed vs Safa analysis

Al Ahed Safa
72 ELO 52
-3.5% Tilt 1%
4550º General ELO ranking 4467º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74%
Al Ahed
17.5%
Draw
8.5%
Safa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
Al Ahed
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.5%
Win probability
Safa
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Ahed
+12%
+53%
Safa

ELO progression

Al Ahed
Safa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Ahed
Al Ahed
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2019
APR
April 25
0 - 1
Al Ahed
ALA
26%
24%
50%
72 62 10 0
06 Oct. 2019
ALA
Al Akhaa Al Ahli
1 - 3
Al Ahed
ALA
17%
25%
58%
73 55 18 -1
01 Oct. 2019
ALA
Al Ahed
1 - 0
Al-Jazeera
ALJ
41%
26%
34%
73 75 2 0
24 Sep. 2019
ALJ
Al-Jazeera
0 - 0
Al Ahed
ALA
47%
25%
28%
73 75 2 0
15 Sep. 2019
ALA
Al Ahed
2 - 1
Al Ansar Beirut
ALA
54%
22%
23%
72 63 9 +1

Matches

Safa
Safa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2019
ALA
Al Ansar Beirut
4 - 1
Safa
SAF
63%
22%
15%
53 63 10 0
29 Sep. 2019
SAF
Safa
2 - 0
Al Ghazieh Shabab
ALG
47%
25%
27%
53 50 3 0
21 Sep. 2019
SAF
Safa
0 - 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli
ALA
40%
27%
33%
52 55 3 +1
28 Apr. 2019
SAF
Safa
0 - 1
Al Akhaa Al Ahli
ALA
39%
25%
36%
52 53 1 0
20 Apr. 2019
ALN
Shabab Baalbek
0 - 2
Safa
SAF
24%
24%
52%
52 45 7 0