Akademisk Boldklub vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
5º
5º
69
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
59 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
69 | 16 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 14 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 14 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 13 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
17.5% | 46% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 54% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akademisk Boldklub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 3
MID
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 0
AKA
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AKA
2 - 3
LFA
46%
24%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 1
AKA
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
AAF
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 0
SKI
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
ESB
7%
17%
76%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ESB
4 - 2
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
AAF
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
THI
2 - 5
ESB
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |