AP Brera vs Rabotnički analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
10º
56
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
AKP
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
AKP
4 - 3
SHK
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BES
2 - 1
AKP
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
AKP
3 - 0
VOK
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
AKP
1 - 1
VAR
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rabotnički
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
RAB
0 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
SHK
2 - 1
RAB
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
RAB
0 - 0
SIL
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GOS
0 - 3
RAB
46%
28%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
RAB
2 - 1
PEL
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |