AP Brera vs FK Pobeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AKP
0 - 2
SHK
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 1
AKP
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AKP
3 - 0
MAK
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
KOR
1 - 6
AKP
8%
12%
80%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AKP
0 - 0
VAR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
POB
0 - 1
RAB
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SHK
3 - 0
POB
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
POB
1 - 1
BEL
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
POB
2 - 0
TIK
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
KGE
0 - 1
POB
11%
18%
72%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |