AP Brera vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
10º
51
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 3
AKP
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 1
SIL
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
AKP
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
4 - 1
AKP
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 0
BES
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
RAB
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BES
1 - 2
FCS
22%
26%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 1
FCS
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
FCS
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
MAK
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |