Ajax U23 vs AGOVV Apeldoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 1
BVO
8%
15%
77%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
JOU
0 - 2
AJA
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
APE
9 - 1
HEL
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
BVV
1 - 0
APE
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
APE
2 - 2
FCO
63%
20%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
BOS
5 - 1
APE
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
APE
5 - 2
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |