Uefa Youth League Group E Round 1

Ajax U19 vs AEK Athens U19 analysis

Ajax U19 AEK Athens U19
44 ELO 16
14% Tilt 19.2%
6428º General ELO ranking 6557º
109º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
85.7%
Ajax U19
9.4%
Draw
4.9%
AEK Athens U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
Ajax U19
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
4.9%
Win probability
AEK Athens U19
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax U19
+10%
-21%
AEK Athens U19

ELO progression

Ajax U19
AEK Athens U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax U19
Ajax U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2018
AJA
Ajax U19
3 - 0
Utrecht U19
UTR
84%
11%
5%
44 27 17 0
01 Sep. 2018
WIL
Willem II U19
0 - 3
Ajax U19
AJA
9%
14%
77%
42 24 18 +2
26 May. 2018
UTR
Utrecht U19
2 - 1
Ajax U19
AJA
7%
13%
79%
44 22 22 -2
12 May. 2018
FEY
Feyenoord U19
2 - 2
Ajax U19
AJA
15%
18%
67%
44 30 14 0
26 Apr. 2018
AJA
Ajax U19
3 - 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
ALK
87%
9%
4%
46 25 21 -2