Divisie 1 Netherlands Sub 18 Divisie 1 Lente round 1

Ajax U18 vs PEC Zwolle U18 analysis

Ajax U18 PEC Zwolle U18
30 ELO 18
17.6% Tilt 6.8%
39747º General ELO ranking 45155º
716º Country ELO ranking 778º
ELO win probability
87.8%
Ajax U18
8.1%
Draw
4.2%
PEC Zwolle U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
Ajax U18
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.2%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle U18
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax U18
+41%
+2%
PEC Zwolle U18

Points and table prediction

Ajax U18
Their league position
PEC Zwolle U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ajax U18
31
31
100%
PSV U18
28
28
100%
AZ Alkmaar U18
23
23
100%
Utrecht U18
19
19
100%
Sparta Rotterdam U18
17
17
100%
Feyenoord U18
16
16
100%
Twente / Heracles U18
12
12
100%
PEC Zwolle U18
9
9
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajax U18
PEC Zwolle U18
Champion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Ajax U18
PEC Zwolle U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax U18
Ajax U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
AJA
Ajax U18
3 - 0
Twente / Heracles U18
THS
82%
11%
7%
30 20 10 0
17 Dec. 2022
GRA
De Graafschap U18
1 - 4
Ajax U18
AJA
31%
21%
48%
29 24 5 +1
10 Dec. 2022
THS
Twente / Heracles U18
3 - 5
Ajax U18
AJA
29%
21%
51%
28 22 6 +1
06 Dec. 2022
PEZ
PEC Zwolle U18
5 - 4
Ajax U18
AJA
10%
15%
76%
30 16 14 -2
03 Dec. 2022
AJA
Ajax U18
5 - 0
Feyenoord U18
FEY
65%
18%
18%
29 25 4 +1

Matches

PEC Zwolle U18
PEC Zwolle U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
PEZ
PEC Zwolle U18
1 - 3
Utrecht U18
UTR
15%
17%
69%
19 28 9 0
17 Dec. 2022
ADO
ADO Den Haag U18
1 - 3
PEC Zwolle U18
PEZ
49%
21%
30%
18 18 0 +1
06 Dec. 2022
PEZ
PEC Zwolle U18
5 - 4
Ajax U18
AJA
10%
15%
76%
16 30 14 +2
03 Dec. 2022
PEZ
PEC Zwolle U18
2 - 5
PSV U18
PSV
7%
12%
81%
17 37 20 -1
26 Nov. 2022
AZK
AZ Alkmaar U18
4 - 1
PEC Zwolle U18
PEZ
85%
10%
5%
17 34 17 0