Estonia Third Division East / North Round 17

Ajax Lasnamäe vs Ararat analysis

Ajax Lasnamäe Ararat
18 ELO 21
32.1% Tilt 23.8%
21346º General ELO ranking 29342º
114º Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
37.2%
Ajax Lasnamäe
20.3%
Draw
42.5%
Ararat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
Ajax Lasnamäe
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
42.5%
Win probability
Ararat
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax Lasnamäe
-71%
-7%
Ararat

ELO progression

Ajax Lasnamäe
Ararat
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax Lasnamäe
Ajax Lasnamäe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
FHT
FC Helios Voru
4 - 2
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
70%
16%
14%
18 23 5 0
19 Aug. 2023
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
0 - 4
Viimsi JK II
VJK
15%
18%
67%
19 36 17 -1
13 Aug. 2023
TJK
Tartu Welco II
7 - 1
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
85%
10%
5%
19 38 19 0
06 Aug. 2023
TKL
Tartu Kalev II
4 - 2
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
28%
20%
52%
20 17 3 -1
30 Jul. 2023
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
1 - 0
FC Helios Tartu
FCH
64%
17%
20%
20 19 1 0

Matches

Ararat
Ararat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2023
FCA
Ararat
1 - 1
K-Järve JK Järve III
KJA
92%
6%
3%
22 11 11 0
19 Aug. 2023
JFP
Johvi Phoenix
4 - 0
Ararat
FCA
76%
14%
10%
22 38 16 0
12 Aug. 2023
WAR
Warrior Valga
0 - 5
Ararat
FCA
5%
10%
85%
22 7 15 0
06 Aug. 2023
FHT
FC Helios Voru
2 - 3
Ararat
FCA
63%
18%
20%
21 24 3 +1
30 Jul. 2023
FCA
Ararat
1 - 1
Viimsi JK II
VJK
16%
19%
65%
20 36 16 +1