Ajaccio vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
37.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
LYO
4 - 0
AJA
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
GIR
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
REN
4 - 1
AJA
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 0
STR
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
AJA
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
32%
30%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
MPL
0 - 2
LIL
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 2
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 0
SOC
28%
27%
44%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |