French League U19 Group D Round 11

Ajaccio U19 vs Nice U19 analysis

Ajaccio U19 Nice U19
27 ELO 33
-11.5% Tilt -2.9%
8488º General ELO ranking 7489º
275º Country ELO ranking 218º
ELO win probability
34%
Ajaccio U19
24%
Draw
41.9%
Nice U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
Ajaccio U19
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.9%
Win probability
Nice U19
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajaccio U19
-28%
+31%
Nice U19

Points and table prediction

Ajaccio U19
Their league position
Nice U19
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
14º
11º
35
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olympique Marseille U19
52
52
100%
Montpellier U19
46
46
100%
Rodez U19
45
45
100%
Monaco U19
40
40
100%
Air Bel U19
40
40
100%
Saint-Etienne U19
39
39
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
36
36
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
36
36
100%
Nice U19
35
35
100%
Toulouse U19
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Ajaccio U19
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Bastia U19
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Colomiers U19
14º
20
20
13º
100%
Béziers U19
13º
20
20
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajaccio U19
Nice U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Ajaccio U19
Nice U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajaccio U19
Ajaccio U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
MON
Monaco U19
4 - 0
Ajaccio U19
AJA
77%
13%
10%
28 37 9 0
21 Oct. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio U19
0 - 0
Béziers U19
BEZ
57%
21%
21%
28 25 3 0
15 Oct. 2023
COL
Colomiers U19
2 - 0
Ajaccio U19
AJA
42%
24%
34%
29 30 1 -1
07 Oct. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio U19
3 - 2
Olympique Marseille U19
OLY
32%
24%
44%
28 33 5 +1
01 Oct. 2023
ABE
Air Bel U19
2 - 0
Ajaccio U19
AJA
42%
22%
36%
29 28 1 -1

Matches

Nice U19
Nice U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2023
NIC
Nice U19
2 - 0
Rodez U19
ROD
74%
14%
12%
32 22 10 0
21 Oct. 2023
MON
Monaco U19
2 - 1
Nice U19
NIC
69%
17%
15%
33 36 3 -1
14 Oct. 2023
BEZ
Béziers U19
1 - 3
Nice U19
NIC
31%
24%
45%
31 26 5 +2
08 Oct. 2023
NIC
Nice U19
1 - 1
Colomiers U19
COL
62%
20%
18%
31 29 2 0
30 Sep. 2023
OLY
Olympique Marseille U19
3 - 0
Nice U19
NIC
50%
22%
28%
33 31 2 -2