Ajaccio II vs Orléans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
7º
32
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
AJA
31%
22%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
MAI
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
CAN
29%
27%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RSV
4 - 0
AJA
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Orléans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ORL
2 - 0
MAI
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 2
ORL
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TOU
4 - 0
ORL
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CSL
1 - 0
ORL
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ORL
2 - 0
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |