Ajaccio II vs Grand-Quevilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
10º
4º
18
8º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 1
AJA
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
ESA
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
6 - 0
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
ALE
50%
23%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grand-Quevilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GRQ
1 - 1
ESA
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GRQ
2 - 1
CHA
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OIS
1 - 1
GRQ
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FBB
1 - 1
GRQ
87%
8%
4%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GRQ
1 - 1
SAI
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +2 |