Ajaccio II vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NIM
1 - 2
AJA
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 2
CAS
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AUB
4 - 2
AJA
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 3
CAE
72%
15%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
EVR
0 - 0
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 1
TOU
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FUR
1 - 1
FAB
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 1
ROD
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AIX
5 - 1
FAB
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 3
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |